2024 United States presidential election in Louisiana
 | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
.jpg)
.jpg)
| Elections in Louisiana |
|---|
 |
 Government |
The 2024 United States presidential election in Louisiana is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Louisiana voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Louisiana has eight electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[1]
As a Deep Southern state located largely within the Bible Belt, Louisiana has a somewhat conservative voting pattern, with the only Democrats to carry the state's electoral votes after FDR being Adlai Stevenson II in his first bid, John F. Kennedy, fellow Southerner Jimmy Carter in his first bid, and Bill Clinton of neighboring Arkansas.
Republicans have won the state in every presidential election since George W. Bush of neighboring Texas did in 2000, doing so by double-digit margins since Bush's 2004 re-election; and since 2008, presidential Democrats have consistently and exclusively carried these parishes: Orleans, home to Louisiana's largest city New Orleans; East Baton Rouge, home to the state capital; Caddo, home to Shreveport; and the rural, predominantly-Black parishes of East Carroll, Madison, Tensas, St. Helena, Iberville, St. James, and St. John the Baptist. Louisiana is expected to again go comfortably towards the Republican candidate in 2024.[2]
Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden is running for reelection to a second term.[3]
Primary elections
Republican primary
The Louisiana Republican primary was scheduled to be held on March 23, 2024.
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
| Donald Trump | 172,474 | 89.8% | 47 | ||
| Nikki Haley (withdrawn) | 13,119 | 6.8% | |||
| Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) | 3,022 | 1.6% | |||
| Chris Christie (withdrawn) | 1,280 | 0.7% | |||
| Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) | 595 | 0.3% | |||
| Ryan Binkley (withdrawn) | 579 | 0.3% | |||
| Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn) | 517 | 0.2% | |||
| Rachel Swift | 335 | 0.2% | |||
| David Stuckenberg | 210 | 0.1% | |||
| Total: | 192,131 | 100.0% | 47 | 47 | |
| Source: [4] | |||||
Democratic primary
The Louisiana Democratic primary will be held on March 23, 2024. Alongside primary with Missouri.
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |||
| Joe Biden (incumbent) | 143,371 | 86.1% | 48 | ||
| Marianne Williamson | 7,898 | 4.7% | |||
| Dean Phillips (withdrawn) | 4,351 | 2.6% | |||
| Stephen Lyons (withdrawn) | 3,770 | 2.3% | |||
| Bob Ely | 2,652 | 1.6% | |||
| Frankie Lozada (withdrawn) | 2,244 | 1.4% | |||
| Armando Perez-Serrato | 1,200 | 0.7% | |||
| Cenk Uygur (withdrawn) | 1,113 | 0.7% | |||
| Total: | 166,599 | 100.0% | 48 | 6 | 52 |
| Source: [5] | |||||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report[6] | Solid R | December 19, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[7] | Solid R | April 26, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] | Solid R | June 29, 2023 |
| Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[9] | Solid R | December 14, 2023 |
| CNalysis[10] | Solid R | December 30, 2023 |
| CNN[11] | Solid R | January 14, 2024 |
Polling
- Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 506 (LV) | ± 6.5% | 51% | 36% | 13% |
- Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 506 (LV) | ± 6.5% | 46% | 33% | 21% |
See also
- United States presidential elections in Louisiana
- 2024 United States presidential election
- 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries
- 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
- 2024 United States elections
Notes
References
- ^ Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved August 20, 2021.
- ^ "270toWin - 2024 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270toWin.com. Retrieved February 22, 2024.
- ^ Kinery, Emma (April 25, 2023). "Biden launches 2024 reelection campaign, promising to fulfill economic policy vision". CNBC.
- ^ "Louisiana Presidential Primary". The AP. Retrieved March 22, 2024.
- ^ "Louisiana Presidential Primary". The AP. Retrieved March 22, 2024.
- ^ "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "2024 presidential predictions". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. December 14, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN. Retrieved January 14, 2024.
