2020 United States House of Representatives election in Vermont
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   Welch: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80-90% >90% Berry: 40–50% 50–60% Tie: 40–50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Vermont |
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The 2020 United States House of Representatives election in Vermont was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the U.S. Representative from Vermont's at-large congressional district. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Peter Welch, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Ralph Corbo, activist[1]
Results
Welch—>90%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Peter Welch (incumbent) | 101,566 | 95.45 | |
| Democratic | Ralph Corbo | 4,599 | 4.32 | |
| Write-in | 237 | 0.22 | ||
| Total votes | 106,402 | 100.00 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Miriam Berry, nurse and screenplay writer[3]
Eliminated in primary
- Jimmy Rodriguez, activist[3]
- Justin Tuthill, consultant[3]
- Anya Tynio, sales representative for Newport Daily Express and nominee for this district in 2018[3]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Miriam Berry | 14,368 | 32.51 | |
| Republican | Justin Tuthill | 10,915 | 24.70 | |
| Republican | Anya Tynio | 8,830 | 19.98 | |
| Republican | Jimmy Rodriguez | 8,290 | 18.76 | |
| Write-in | 1,789 | 4.05 | ||
| Total votes | 44,192 | 100.00 | ||
Progressive primary
Candidates
Nominee
- John Christopher Brimmer, secretary of the Progressive State Committee, chair of Caledonia County Progressive Committee, Zoning & Planning Administrator of Fairlee (ran to secure Progressive nomination, dropped out before general election)[4]
Eliminated in primary
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progressive | Chris Brimmer | 469 | 58.04 | |
| Progressive | Cris Ericson | 236 | 29.21 | |
| Write-in | 103 | 12.75 | ||
| Total votes | 808 | 100.00 | ||
Independents and other parties
Candidates
Declared
- Peter R. Becker
- Christopher Helali (Party of Communists USA), former U.S. Army officer, chair of the Orange County Progressive Committee, and organic farmer[5]
- Marcia Horne, Republican nominee for the Essex-Orleans district in 2014 and 2016[6]
- Shawn Orr
- Jerry Trudell, renewable energy activist, pilot, and perennial candidate[7]
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Safe D | November 2, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Safe D | October 28, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe D | November 2, 2020 |
| Politico[11] | Safe D | November 2, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Safe D | November 2, 2020 |
| RCP[13] | Safe D | November 2, 2020 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Peter Welch (D) |
Miriam Berry (R) |
Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braun Research | September 3–15, 2020 | 582 (LV) | ± 4% | 57% | 18% | 16%[b] |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Peter Welch (incumbent) | 238,827 | 67.31% | -1.89% | |
| Republican | Miriam Berry | 95,830 | 27.01% | +1.06% | |
| Independent | Peter R. Becker | 8,065 | 2.27% | N/A | |
| Independent | Marcia Horne | 4,334 | 1.22% | N/A | |
| Party of Communists USA | Christopher Helali | 3,432 | 0.97% | N/A | |
| Independent | Shawn Orr | 1,926 | 0.54% | N/A | |
| Independent | Jerry Trudell | 1,881 | 0.53% | N/A | |
| Write-in | 542 | 0.15% | +0.08% | ||
| Total votes | 354,837 | 100.0% | |||
| Democratic hold | |||||
See also
Notes
References
- ^ Rathke, Lisa (August 8, 2020). "Welch faces single challenger in Vermont Democratic primary". Burlington Free Press. Associated Press. Retrieved September 17, 2020.
- ^ a b c "Vermont Election Results – Official Results". Vermont Secretary of State. Retrieved September 17, 2020.
- ^ a b c d "Vermont's 2020 Primary Election Is Like No Other. Here's What You Need To Know". Vermont Public Radio. July 31, 2020. Retrieved September 17, 2020.
- ^ a b Meyn, Colin (August 13, 2020). "Cris Ericson seizes open Progressive ticket for (possible) sweep of statewide races". VT Digger. Retrieved September 17, 2020.
- ^ Varricchio, Lou. "The Communist next door: Christopher Helali of Vermont". The Sun Community News. Retrieved August 25, 2020.
- ^ "VT Elections Database » Candidate Profile". Archived from the original on October 11, 2020. Retrieved October 7, 2020.
- ^ "VT Elections Database » Candidate Profile". Archived from the original on October 12, 2020. Retrieved October 7, 2020.
- ^ "2020 House Race Ratings for November 2, 2020". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved April 5, 2021.
- ^ "2020 House Ratings". House Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved April 5, 2021.
- ^ "2020 House race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved April 5, 2021.
- ^ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. April 5, 2021.
- ^ "2020 House Race Ratings". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved April 5, 2021.
- ^ "Battle for House 2020". RCP. Retrieved April 5, 2021.
- ^ "2020 General Election Canvass Report" (PDF). Vermont Secretary of State. Retrieved November 19, 2020.
External links
- Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association, "Vermont", Voting & Elections Toolkits
- "Vermont: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links", Vote.org, Oakland, CA
- "League of Women Voters of Vermont". (State affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
- Vermont at Ballotpedia
- Official campaign websites
- Miriam Berry (R) for Congress Archived June 5, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- Christopher Helali (Com) for Congress
- Jerry Trudell (I) for Congress Archived November 25, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- Peter Welch (D) for Congress Archived May 19, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- Debates and forums
- CCTV Channel 17 Town Meeting TV – Republican Primary Forum – Representative to Congress 7/30/2020
- CCTV Channel 17 Town Meeting TV – Democratic Primary Forum – Representative to Congress 7/31/2020
- Brattleboro Community TV – Communist US House Candidate Forum 9/9/2020
- CCTV Channel 17 Town Meeting TV Forum – Vermont Representative to Congress 9/17/2020
- The Vanguard – Communist US House Candidate Interview 9/23/2020
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